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Best Picture:
Who will win: The Artist
Who should win: Hugo
Who I want to win: Midnight in Paris
Should have been nominated:
Beginners: Dramedies rarely get nominated, especially ones with summer release dates. But I’m glad that Christopher Plummer is basically guaranteed to win an Oscar for his performance.
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo: My favorite book. One of my favorite directors. Prime release date. There is no reason this shouldn’t have been nominated.
Shame: Undoubtedly the film is heavy, but subject matter shouldn’t prevent something from being nominated—especially when the film is so flawless and effecting.
Drive: Once again, it was probably released slightly too early. Otherwise this should have been a prime candidate.
50/50: Another dramedy that was exceedingly original and well done, that the academy refused to acknowledge.
Bridesmaids: The academy tends to overlook good comedies, but the fact that Melissa McCarthy was nominated is a big step forward—although she has no chance of winning.
Melancholia: Sure, its out there, but if The Tree of Life can get nominated, so can this. Lars Von Trier is the man.
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy: Some claim it was difficult to follow, but I think it was meticulously crafted with exceptional acting.
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Seriously though… none of these movies everrrr got nominated. What the fuck.
I don’t think Like Crazy deserves a nod, but it was right up my alley.
Actor in a Leading Role:
Who will win: Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Who should win: George Clooney, The Descendants
Who I want to win: George Clooney, The Descendants
Should have been nominated:
Michael Fassbender, Shame: Not only should he have been nominated, but he should have won. Such a haunting performance.
Asa Butterfield, Hugo: This kid has such a huge future and this movie revolved around his performance.
Peyman Maadi, A Seperation: He really had no chance, considering this was a foreign film, but at least A Seperation will most likely win an Oscar for Best Foreign Language Film.
Ryan Gosling, Drive: This film got completely snubbed, whiiiich is bullshit.
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 50/50: With only five spots, it is unlikely he would have been nominated, but his performance was moving and hilarious. Equally.
Ewan McGregor, Beginners: Definitely not the best or most challenging performance of the year, but I’m just throwin it out there.
Best Actress In a Leading Role:
Who will win: Viola Davis, The Help
Who should win: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Who I want to win: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Should have been nominated:
Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia: She definitely should have taken the place of Michelle Williams or Glenn Close, although her character was hard to watch.
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids: If Melissa McCarthy got nominated, Wiig deserves a nod too.
Actor in a Supporting Role:
Who will win: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Who should win: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Who I want to win: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Should have been nominated:
Adrien Brody, Midnight in Paris: No explanation needed
Corey Stoll, Midnight in Paris: I think it was more the interpretation of Hemingway that Allen wrote, but Stoll’s delivery was flawless.
Actress in a Supporting Role:
Who will win: Octavia Spencer, The Help
Who should win: Octavia Spencer, The Help
Who I want to win: Octavia Spencer, The Help
Should have been nominated:
Carey Mulligan, Shame: Again, this film was completely snubbed by that Academy, and I’d even argue her performance is on the same level as Spencer’s .
Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life: I know she was already nominated, but she was the best in this film.
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants: Everyone thought she would be nominated. She wasn’t. It is a travesty.
Bryce Dallas Howard, The Help: Just because she was a villain, doesn’t mean she should have been ignored.
Cinematography:
Who will win: Emmanuel Lubezki, The Tree of Life
Who should win: Emmanuel Lubezki, The Tree of Life
Who I want to win: Emmanuel Lubezki, The Tree of Life
Should have been nominated:
Manuel Alberto Claro, Melancholia: Visually this movie was striking.
Sean Bobbitt, Shame: Some of those shots were so brutally beautiful.
Art Direction
Who will win: Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, Hugo
Who should win: Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, Hugo
Who I want to win: Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo, Hugo
Should have been nominated:
Tom Brown, Zsuzsa Kismarty-Lechner, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy: 1970s Britain coming to life.
David Crank, The Tree of Life: I think this would have been nominated if there was one more spot.
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (There are nine million people responsible for this): All of Fincher’s movies have great art direction.
Directing:
Who will win: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Who should win: Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Who I want to win: Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Should have been nominated:
David Fincher, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo: Basssically my favorite director, bringing my favorite book to life.
Mike Mills, Beginners: Such a creative and original and moving dramedy. Mike Mills is a genius.
Steve McQueen, Shame: Its about time he gets some recognition for being a fucking GENIUS
Lars Von Trier, Melancholia: cinematic master, even if he’s a horrible human being
Film Editing:
Who will win: Anne-Sophie Bion and Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Who should win: Thelma Schoonmaker, Hugo
Who I want to win: Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Should have been nominated:
Alisa Lepselter, Midnight in Paris: Understandably this didn’t get nominated with only five spots, but it should get recognition.
Makeup:
Who will win: Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland, The Iron Lady
Who should win: Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland, The Iron Lady
Who I want to win: Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland, The Iron Lady
Visual Effects:
Who will win: Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White and Daniel Barrett, Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Who should win: Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler and John Richardson, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Who I want to win: Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler and John Richardson, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Who will win: Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash, The Descendants
Who should win: Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash, The Descendants
Who I want to win: Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash, The Descendants
Should have been nominated:
Steven Zaillian, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo: Not the best adaptation of all time, but better than the Swedish version in my opinion.
Writing (Original Screenplay)
Who will win: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Who should win: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Who I want to win: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Should have been nominated:
Will Reiser, 50/50: So original and touching, not to mention it was based on his life.
Mike Mills, Beginners: Same as 50/50
…i don’t feel knowledgable enough to predict the rest of the categories.
Movies I wanted to see but didn’t: The Ides of March, Margin Call, Bullhead, Footnote, In Darkness, Monsieur Lazhar, A Cat in Paris, Chico & Rita, Rango, Jane Eyre, Martha, Marcy May, Marlene, We Need To Talk About Kevin, Take Shelter, Coriolanus
